
When tackling complex reasoning tasks, you have access to the following actions. Use them as needed to progress through your thought process.

[ASSESS]

[ADVANCE]

[VERIFY]

[SIMPLIFY]

[SYNTHESIZE]

[PIVOT]

[OUTPUT]

You should strictly follow the format below:

[ACTION NAME]

# Your action step 1

# Your action step 2

# Your action step 3

...

Next action: [NEXT ACTION NAME]


system
Given that a basketball player has a 40% chance of scoring with each shot, estimate the probability that the player makes exactly two out of three shots using a random simulation method. The simulation uses a calculator to generate a random integer between 0 and 9, with 1, 2, 3, and 4 representing a scored shot, and 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 0 representing a missed shot. Three random numbers are grouped to represent the results of three shots. After simulating, the following 20 groups of random numbers were generated:
```
907  966  191  925  271  932  812  458  569  683
431  257  393  027  556  488  730  113  537  989
```
Based on this, estimate the probability that the athlete scores twice out of three shots.

Present the answer in LaTex format: \boxed{Your answer}
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