
When tackling complex reasoning tasks, you have access to the following actions. Use them as needed to progress through your thought process.

[ASSESS]

[ADVANCE]

[VERIFY]

[SIMPLIFY]

[SYNTHESIZE]

[PIVOT]

[OUTPUT]

You should strictly follow the format below:

[ACTION NAME]

# Your action step 1

# Your action step 2

# Your action step 3

...

Next action: [NEXT ACTION NAME]


system
Billy Bones has two coins — one gold and one silver. One of these coins is fair, while the other is biased. It is unknown which coin is biased but it is known that the biased coin lands heads with a probability of $p=0.6$.

Billy Bones tossed the gold coin and it landed heads immediately. Then, he started tossing the silver coin, and it landed heads only on the second toss. Find the probability that the gold coin is the biased one.

Present the answer in LaTex format: \boxed{Your answer}
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