ForecastBench bot
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Commit
·
ee2c2f5
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Parent(s):
09f8fd4
resolution set: automatic update for 2025-10-26-llm.json.
Browse files
datasets/resolution_sets/2025-10-26_resolution_set.json
CHANGED
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"id": "14962",
|
| 3175 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3176 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3177 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3178 |
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|
| 3179 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3180 |
},
|
|
@@ -3182,7 +3182,7 @@
|
|
| 3182 |
"id": "1515",
|
| 3183 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3184 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3185 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3186 |
"resolved_to": 0.75,
|
| 3187 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3188 |
},
|
|
@@ -3190,7 +3190,7 @@
|
|
| 3190 |
"id": "15226",
|
| 3191 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3192 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3193 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3194 |
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|
| 3195 |
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|
| 3196 |
},
|
|
@@ -3198,7 +3198,7 @@
|
|
| 3198 |
"id": "1539",
|
| 3199 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3200 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3201 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3202 |
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|
| 3203 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3204 |
},
|
|
@@ -3206,7 +3206,7 @@
|
|
| 3206 |
"id": "15493",
|
| 3207 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3208 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3209 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3210 |
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|
| 3211 |
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|
| 3212 |
},
|
|
@@ -3214,7 +3214,7 @@
|
|
| 3214 |
"id": "1558",
|
| 3215 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3216 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3217 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3218 |
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|
| 3219 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3220 |
},
|
|
@@ -3222,7 +3222,7 @@
|
|
| 3222 |
"id": "16011",
|
| 3223 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3224 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3225 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3226 |
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|
| 3227 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3228 |
},
|
|
@@ -3230,7 +3230,7 @@
|
|
| 3230 |
"id": "1604",
|
| 3231 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3232 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3233 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3234 |
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|
| 3235 |
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|
| 3236 |
},
|
|
@@ -3238,7 +3238,7 @@
|
|
| 3238 |
"id": "16469",
|
| 3239 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3240 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3241 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3242 |
"resolved_to": 0.1865741621,
|
| 3243 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3244 |
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|
|
@@ -3246,7 +3246,7 @@
|
|
| 3246 |
"id": "16553",
|
| 3247 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3248 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3249 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3250 |
"resolved_to": 0.8,
|
| 3251 |
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|
| 3252 |
},
|
|
@@ -3254,7 +3254,7 @@
|
|
| 3254 |
"id": "17112",
|
| 3255 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3256 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3257 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3258 |
"resolved_to": 0.9,
|
| 3259 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3260 |
},
|
|
@@ -3262,7 +3262,7 @@
|
|
| 3262 |
"id": "17917",
|
| 3263 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3264 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3265 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3266 |
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|
| 3267 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3268 |
},
|
|
@@ -3270,7 +3270,7 @@
|
|
| 3270 |
"id": "18092",
|
| 3271 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3272 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3273 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3274 |
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|
| 3275 |
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|
| 3276 |
},
|
|
@@ -3278,7 +3278,7 @@
|
|
| 3278 |
"id": "18258",
|
| 3279 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3280 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3281 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3282 |
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|
| 3283 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3284 |
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|
|
@@ -3286,7 +3286,7 @@
|
|
| 3286 |
"id": "18365",
|
| 3287 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3288 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3289 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3290 |
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|
| 3291 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3292 |
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|
|
@@ -3294,15 +3294,15 @@
|
|
| 3294 |
"id": "19038",
|
| 3295 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3296 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3297 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3298 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 3299 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3300 |
},
|
| 3301 |
{
|
| 3302 |
"id": "19397",
|
| 3303 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3304 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3305 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3306 |
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|
| 3307 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3308 |
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|
|
@@ -3310,7 +3310,7 @@
|
|
| 3310 |
"id": "19408",
|
| 3311 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3312 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3313 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3314 |
"resolved_to": 0.30000000000000004,
|
| 3315 |
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|
| 3316 |
},
|
|
@@ -3318,7 +3318,7 @@
|
|
| 3318 |
"id": "19453",
|
| 3319 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3320 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3321 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3322 |
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|
| 3323 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3324 |
},
|
|
@@ -3326,7 +3326,7 @@
|
|
| 3326 |
"id": "20134",
|
| 3327 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3328 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3329 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3330 |
"resolved_to": 0.8,
|
| 3331 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3332 |
},
|
|
@@ -3334,7 +3334,7 @@
|
|
| 3334 |
"id": "21485",
|
| 3335 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3336 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3337 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3338 |
"resolved_to": 0.9,
|
| 3339 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3340 |
},
|
|
@@ -3342,15 +3342,15 @@
|
|
| 3342 |
"id": "21531",
|
| 3343 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3344 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3345 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3346 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 3347 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3348 |
},
|
| 3349 |
{
|
| 3350 |
"id": "21553",
|
| 3351 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3352 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3353 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3354 |
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|
| 3355 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3356 |
},
|
|
@@ -3358,7 +3358,7 @@
|
|
| 3358 |
"id": "21829",
|
| 3359 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3360 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3361 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3362 |
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|
| 3363 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3364 |
},
|
|
@@ -3366,7 +3366,7 @@
|
|
| 3366 |
"id": "24803",
|
| 3367 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3368 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3369 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3370 |
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|
| 3371 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3372 |
},
|
|
@@ -3374,7 +3374,7 @@
|
|
| 3374 |
"id": "25349",
|
| 3375 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3376 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3377 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3378 |
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|
| 3379 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3380 |
},
|
|
@@ -3382,7 +3382,7 @@
|
|
| 3382 |
"id": "25655",
|
| 3383 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3384 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3385 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3386 |
"resolved_to": 0.47000000000000003,
|
| 3387 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3388 |
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|
|
@@ -3390,7 +3390,7 @@
|
|
| 3390 |
"id": "26246",
|
| 3391 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3392 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3393 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3394 |
"resolved_to": 0.01,
|
| 3395 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3396 |
},
|
|
@@ -3398,15 +3398,15 @@
|
|
| 3398 |
"id": "2937",
|
| 3399 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3400 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3401 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3402 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 3403 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3404 |
},
|
| 3405 |
{
|
| 3406 |
"id": "3458",
|
| 3407 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3408 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3409 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3410 |
"resolved_to": 0.5,
|
| 3411 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3412 |
},
|
|
@@ -3414,7 +3414,7 @@
|
|
| 3414 |
"id": "35567",
|
| 3415 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3416 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3417 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3418 |
"resolved_to": 0.001,
|
| 3419 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3420 |
},
|
|
@@ -3422,15 +3422,15 @@
|
|
| 3422 |
"id": "35573",
|
| 3423 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3424 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3425 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3426 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 3427 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3428 |
},
|
| 3429 |
{
|
| 3430 |
"id": "36024",
|
| 3431 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3432 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3433 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3434 |
"resolved_to": 0.1,
|
| 3435 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3436 |
},
|
|
@@ -3438,7 +3438,7 @@
|
|
| 3438 |
"id": "3617",
|
| 3439 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3440 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3441 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3442 |
"resolved_to": 0.38,
|
| 3443 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3444 |
},
|
|
@@ -3446,7 +3446,7 @@
|
|
| 3446 |
"id": "37157",
|
| 3447 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3448 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3449 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3450 |
"resolved_to": 0.4,
|
| 3451 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3452 |
},
|
|
@@ -3454,7 +3454,7 @@
|
|
| 3454 |
"id": "3795",
|
| 3455 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3456 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3457 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3458 |
"resolved_to": 0.43,
|
| 3459 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3460 |
},
|
|
@@ -3462,15 +3462,15 @@
|
|
| 3462 |
"id": "3812",
|
| 3463 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3464 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3465 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3466 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 3467 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3468 |
},
|
| 3469 |
{
|
| 3470 |
"id": "39129",
|
| 3471 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3472 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3473 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3474 |
"resolved_to": 0.48,
|
| 3475 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3476 |
},
|
|
@@ -3486,7 +3486,7 @@
|
|
| 3486 |
"id": "39783",
|
| 3487 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3488 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3489 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3490 |
"resolved_to": 0.08,
|
| 3491 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3492 |
},
|
|
@@ -3494,7 +3494,7 @@
|
|
| 3494 |
"id": "4678",
|
| 3495 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3496 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3497 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3498 |
"resolved_to": 0.01,
|
| 3499 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3500 |
},
|
|
@@ -3502,7 +3502,7 @@
|
|
| 3502 |
"id": "4779",
|
| 3503 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3504 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3505 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3506 |
"resolved_to": 0.27,
|
| 3507 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3508 |
},
|
|
@@ -3510,7 +3510,7 @@
|
|
| 3510 |
"id": "491",
|
| 3511 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3512 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3513 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3514 |
"resolved_to": 0.67,
|
| 3515 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3516 |
},
|
|
@@ -3518,7 +3518,7 @@
|
|
| 3518 |
"id": "606",
|
| 3519 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3520 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3521 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3522 |
"resolved_to": 0.01,
|
| 3523 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3524 |
},
|
|
@@ -3526,7 +3526,7 @@
|
|
| 3526 |
"id": "6462",
|
| 3527 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3528 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3529 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3530 |
"resolved_to": 0.49,
|
| 3531 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3532 |
},
|
|
@@ -3534,7 +3534,7 @@
|
|
| 3534 |
"id": "6691",
|
| 3535 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3536 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3537 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3538 |
"resolved_to": 0.7000000000000001,
|
| 3539 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3540 |
},
|
|
@@ -3542,7 +3542,7 @@
|
|
| 3542 |
"id": "6903",
|
| 3543 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3544 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3545 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3546 |
"resolved_to": 0.47000000000000003,
|
| 3547 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3548 |
},
|
|
@@ -3550,7 +3550,7 @@
|
|
| 3550 |
"id": "6948",
|
| 3551 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3552 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3553 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3554 |
"resolved_to": 0.001,
|
| 3555 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3556 |
},
|
|
@@ -3558,7 +3558,7 @@
|
|
| 3558 |
"id": "7481",
|
| 3559 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3560 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3561 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3562 |
"resolved_to": 0.18,
|
| 3563 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3564 |
},
|
|
@@ -3566,7 +3566,7 @@
|
|
| 3566 |
"id": "7903",
|
| 3567 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3568 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3569 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3570 |
"resolved_to": 0.535,
|
| 3571 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3572 |
},
|
|
@@ -3574,7 +3574,7 @@
|
|
| 3574 |
"id": "7975",
|
| 3575 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3576 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3577 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3578 |
"resolved_to": 0.35000000000000003,
|
| 3579 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3580 |
},
|
|
@@ -3582,7 +3582,7 @@
|
|
| 3582 |
"id": "7994",
|
| 3583 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3584 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3585 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3586 |
"resolved_to": 0.8,
|
| 3587 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3588 |
},
|
|
@@ -3590,7 +3590,7 @@
|
|
| 3590 |
"id": "8032",
|
| 3591 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3592 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3593 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3594 |
"resolved_to": 0.7000000000000001,
|
| 3595 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3596 |
},
|
|
@@ -3598,7 +3598,7 @@
|
|
| 3598 |
"id": "808",
|
| 3599 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3600 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3601 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3602 |
"resolved_to": 0.28,
|
| 3603 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3604 |
},
|
|
@@ -3606,7 +3606,7 @@
|
|
| 3606 |
"id": "8324",
|
| 3607 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3608 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3609 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3610 |
"resolved_to": 0.89,
|
| 3611 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3612 |
},
|
|
@@ -3614,7 +3614,7 @@
|
|
| 3614 |
"id": "8403",
|
| 3615 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3616 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3617 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 3618 |
"resolved_to": 0.75,
|
| 3619 |
"resolved": false
|
| 3620 |
},
|
|
@@ -3622,7 +3622,7 @@
|
|
| 3622 |
"id": "8505",
|
| 3623 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 3624 |
"direction": null,
|
| 3625 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
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| 3627 |
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| 3628 |
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@@ -3630,7 +3630,7 @@
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|
| 3630 |
"id": "8583",
|
| 3631 |
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| 3632 |
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| 3633 |
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|
| 3634 |
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| 3635 |
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| 3636 |
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@@ -3638,7 +3638,7 @@
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|
| 3638 |
"id": "8612",
|
| 3639 |
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| 3640 |
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| 3641 |
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|
| 3642 |
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| 3644 |
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@@ -3646,7 +3646,7 @@
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|
| 3646 |
"id": "8670",
|
| 3647 |
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|
| 3648 |
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| 3649 |
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|
| 3650 |
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| 3651 |
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| 3652 |
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@@ -3654,15 +3654,15 @@
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|
| 3654 |
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| 3655 |
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| 3656 |
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| 3657 |
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| 3660 |
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| 3661 |
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| 3662 |
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| 3663 |
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| 3664 |
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| 3665 |
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| 3666 |
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| 3668 |
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@@ -3670,7 +3670,7 @@
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|
| 3670 |
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|
| 3671 |
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| 3672 |
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| 3673 |
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|
| 3674 |
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| 3675 |
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| 3676 |
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@@ -3678,7 +3678,7 @@
|
|
| 3678 |
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|
| 3679 |
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| 3680 |
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| 3681 |
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| 3682 |
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| 3683 |
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| 3684 |
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@@ -3686,7 +3686,7 @@
|
|
| 3686 |
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|
| 3687 |
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| 3688 |
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| 3689 |
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|
| 3690 |
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| 3692 |
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@@ -3694,7 +3694,7 @@
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|
| 3694 |
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| 3695 |
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| 3696 |
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| 3697 |
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| 3700 |
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| 3711 |
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| 3719 |
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@@ -3734,7 +3734,7 @@
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@@ -3750,15 +3750,15 @@
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| 3760 |
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| 3775 |
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@@ -3790,8 +3790,8 @@
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|
| 3790 |
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| 3791 |
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@@ -3806,8 +3806,8 @@
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| 3807 |
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| 3808 |
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| 3847 |
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| 3879 |
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| 3880 |
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@@ -3942,24 +3942,24 @@
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@@ -3974,8 +3974,8 @@
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@@ -4062,16 +4062,16 @@
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| 4069 |
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| 4070 |
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@@ -4086,9 +4086,9 @@
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| 4086 |
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| 4087 |
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| 4094 |
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@@ -4134,9 +4134,9 @@
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| 4135 |
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@@ -4166,8 +4166,8 @@
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@@ -4182,8 +4182,8 @@
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| 4182 |
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